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This commentary is being provided to you as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. The opinions expressed in these materials represent the personal views of the author(s). It is not investment research or a research recommendation, as it does not constitute substantive research or analysis. Any action that you take as a result of information contained in this document is ultimately your responsibility. Epsilon Theory will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. Consult your investment advisor before making any investment decisions. It must be noted, that no one can accurately predict the future of the market with certainty or guarantee future investment performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Statements in this communication are forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements and other views expressed herein are as of the date of this publication. Actual future results or occurrences may differ significantly from those anticipated in any forward-looking statements, and there is no guarantee that any predictions will come to pass. The views expressed herein are subject to change at any time, due to numerous market and other factors. Epsilon Theory disclaims any obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or views expressed herein. This information is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities. This commentary has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. Epsilon Theory recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial advisor. The appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives.
Great stuff as always Rusty. I had this discussion/argument with my kid brother. He’s all in because’ they will save it because they have to " Time will tell.
Also, you have to know that you can’t reference your green chili pork stew without a link to the recipe!
Clear eyes, full hearts, and make, protect, teach!! Words to live by!
Avoid tireless self-promoters and sociopaths! Words to lose by!!
Choose wisely.
Hard to believe that over the long run that Government efforts to control the financial markets " to give us the returns we need" will do anything good.
Economic malaise, increasing wealth disparity and political discontent surely will follow.
Disturbing
Thanks, Farmer Don.
OK. No links, but here’s roughly what I do:
This recipe may be worth the whole price of subscription. I’m still dream of the Wagyu brisket you served that last summer’s ET gathering (which as I think about it, feels like a million years ago!)
Outstanding! I always love recipes that start : first, pour four ounces of wine in the cook
Great work Rusty , this note fits in so well with the concept of the long now. You wonder how much longer future returns can be pulled forward? I think the total return on treasury bonds has to be nearly maxed out , unless of course, we go deep into negative territory. With less total return coming from that pool , I can only imagine the pressure to keep the equity markets rising as we go forward. I think of the insurance companies and their reserves? How do they keep the promises made with 0 returns? All roads lead to ruin it seems.
The over/ under on the FEDs balance sheet on the other side of this is 9 trillion IMO.
The debt 30 trillion?
Unfunded Liabilities another 80 trillion?
Then a missionary comes along and tells us all what we already now --that the real inflation rate is 7-8%. Then it gets UGLY!
Randy, having grown up 200 yards from a cornfield in Morton, Illinois and a two time Pumpkin Festival pie eating contest winner …I’m curious about your Central Illinois roots. Thanks
Minooka, which was maybe 2,000 people back then.
Come on Rusty, that’s not central Illinois! That’s a suburb of Chicago…
Ya gotta be in spittin distance of Decatur and the great Staley and ADM corn and soybean processing plants to claim central Illinois. Nearby Shelbyville was my hometown, and spent a few summers detasseling corn, baling hay and walking beans, among other mundane “downstate” activities. With the way things are going, may be good skills to have in the future!