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The Four Horsemen of the Great Ravine, Part 1

By Ben Hunt | 17 Comments

Every so often, things fall apart.

In the words of those who lived it, here are the vibes and the semantic signatures of the twentieth century’s most devastating social collapses.

From the meaning in their words, wisdom for our future emerges.

Why Am I Reading This Now? 01.13.24

Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger narrativ‌e campaign.



Why Am I Reading This Now? 01.06.24

Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger narrativ‌e campaign.



Why Am I Reading This Now? 12.30.24

Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger narrativ‌e campaign.



Why Am I Reading This Now? 12.23.24

Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger narrativ‌e campaign.



Why Am I Reading This Now? 12.16.24

Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger narrativ‌e campaign.



This is an exclusive subscriber-only preview of the first six chapters of Rusty Guinn’s upcoming book Outsourcing Consciousness: How Social Networks are Making Us Lose Our Minds. The book explores how evolution, polarization, and technology are slowly transforming humanity into a hive mind - and what we can and can't do about it.

The Long Now is everything we pull into the present from our future selves and our children. We are told that the economic stimulus and the political fear of the Long Now are costless, when in fact they cost us … everything.
Tick-tock.

Men of God in the City of Man is a nine part series about a Narrative virus that infected the charismatic and Pentecostal churches in the United States. It isn't a story about Christian Nationalism. It isn't a story about January 6th. It isn't a story about why people voted for Trump. It is a story about a story. It is a story about the language that created a self-sustaining movement defined by its unwavering belief in a fundamentally corrupt electoral system.

Amid the Widening Gyre of politics and the black hole of financial markets, the only anchor is us, together, walking with Clear Eyes and Full Hearts. Experience Ben's original 4-part series.

Recent Notes

The cat isn't dead OR alive. It's dead AND alive.

Schrödinger’s Senate Hearing

By Ben Hunt | September 28, 2018

Most people confuse Schrödinger’s Cat with the Observer Effect. It’s a lot weirder and more important than that. In the widening gyre of our political dialogue, it is a powerful illustration of we live in completely different realities.

Stephen Fry and Mark Rylance engaging in Immediate Theatre

Deadly. Holy. Rough. Immediate.

By Rusty Guinn | September 26, 2018

It’s hard to be larger than life in a smaller than life world. It’s hard to be authentic in your art without being artificial. Good theatre does just that. We’re hoping to do the same in Epsilon Theory.

Donald Trump Pointing at You

Missionary Body Language

By Ben Hunt | September 26, 2018

Google “[name] + finger pointing”. Odds are, there are several shots of that politician shaking his or her finger at you, admonishing you with body language to LISTEN UP, BUB. Because that’s what a Missionary does to create Common Knowledge.

The Chinese Panoptistate

By Ben Hunt | September 25, 2018

A Twitter user coined the term “Panoptistate” to describe what China is doing with its social data monitoring effort. It’s a good opportunity to revisit the classic ET note about the Panopticon.

Big brother from 1984 looking down

Guest Post: The Two Worlds of Data Infrastructure

By Ben Hunt | September 24, 2018

There are two systems states use to control our data: The Black Mirror version in China, and the western system that is well on its way there. There is another way.

Mailbag: Mastering the Art of French Cooking

By Ben Hunt | September 23, 2018

In which a fellow Slummerville old-timer writes in with a Savenor’s update: A dream job has been posted, and is now available. But who can afford a dream anymore? Oh, also I got an email from my mom. Hi, mom!

It's a floor wax AND a dessert topping!

It's a Floor Wax AND a Dessert Topping

By Ben Hunt | September 22, 2018

Coinbase – do they run a prop desk or don’t they run a prop desk? My answer: it’s not a prop desk. No, what they are doing is worse and less fair to clients than a prop desk.

A famous example of a Type 1 error

The Curse of Category

By Ben Hunt | September 21, 2018

In investing and in life, we are always quick to judge the book by its cover. We’re quicker to judge a book by who wrote it. We’re quickest to judge a book by what shelf it’s on.

Julia Child with a knife

Mastering the Art of French Cooking

By Ben Hunt | September 19, 2018

In which I discuss that one time I followed Julia Child through a grocery store in the least creepy manner I could manage, and the most delicious white corn I’ve ever enjoyed.

Professor Harold Hill (Harold Hill!)

But Our Interests Are Aligned!

By Ben Hunt | September 18, 2018

The modern use of stock-based compensation is a confidence game, in the true sense of the word, that would be very familiar to the Music Man (but he doesn’t know the territory!).

Notes From the Road: Roadkill

By Rusty Guinn | September 17, 2018

Part 2 of the Notes from the Road series, about the value of and problems with adaptive frameworks. In this installment, an exploration of……roadkill, and what evolution can tell us about our adaptations.

Rosebud.

You Provide the Pictures and I’ll Provide the War

By Ben Hunt | September 17, 2018

Billionaires don’t buy media properties as vanity projects, because they care deeply about them as institutions, or for profit. They buy them because they understand the political and economic power of Fiat News.

Author of The Rights of Man, Thomas Paine

True Freedoms / Hollow Freedoms

By Ben Hunt | September 16, 2018

Our liberty is our birthright, not granted to us by the State or the Oligarchs. It is not theirs to give. It cannot be taken away. But we can give it away. Don’t.

Lehman Brothers sign being carried to auction.

Lehman and the Meta-Game of Trading

By Ben Hunt | September 15, 2018

Everyone has their Lehman war stories. Everyone at least in their 30s, anyway. Here’s one of mine that was particularly formative for Epsilon Theory and our stories about stories.

Hunt's Law: An Experiment

By Ben Hunt | September 14, 2018

Hunt’s Law – fake news drives real news out of circulation – is a perversion of Gresham’s Law about currency that applies everywhere today, even to Hunt. Especially when it comes to social media.

Queen Elizabeth I

Hunt's Law

By Ben Hunt | September 13, 2018

A refresher on the power of abstraction to devalue the real. Gresham’s Law: bad money drives good money out of circulation. Hunt’s Law: fake news drives real news out of circulation.

Dick Fuld

Repo 105

By Ben Hunt | September 12, 2018

Every time Dick Fuld’s publicists succeed in getting a “redemption story” published in the WSJ or NYT, I’m going to write an ET piece about Repo 105. Its consequences for investors haven’t gone away, and neither should we.

Colin Kaepernick

Controlling Your Cartoon: Nike and the Art of the Meme

By Ben Hunt | September 10, 2018

The key to political and commercial success in a widening gyre? Controlling your own cartoon. In other words: if you don’t tell your own story, someone else will.

Mailbag: Mind the Gap!

By Ben Hunt | September 9, 2018

How much richer are we than we “should” be in the Great Financial Asset Bubble? Not you, I mean, you’re just as rich as you should be, of course. I mean everyone else.

Glenmutchkin

19th Century White Papers

By Ben Hunt | September 9, 2018

Two short stories from the 19th century that teach us more about investing than any white paper. Although I suppose that isn’t saying much. What I’m saying is they’re good and you should read them. And this.