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political science – happens in a field of study called social choice theory. Very roughly speaking, social choice theory (and its cousin, public choice theory) believes it is possible to…
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diligence process and my concept of the set of behaviors which could even conceivably produce true idiosyncratic alpha. My conversion on the Road to Reykjavík, if you will, took place…
gig at bdonnelly@ spectramarkets .com and on Twitter at @donnelly_brent. Also, check out his substacks at https://50in50.substack.com/ and https://mtcbd.substack.com/. As with all of our guest contributors, Brent’s post may not represent the views of…
from a key drug. The company has now shifted to a HIV growth machine and when combined with a reduced dependence on HCV drugs makes for a promising scenario where…
our discomfiture may be, however, it cannot change the simple reality that we have structured our economy, household budgets, tax code, social expectations, transportation infrastructure, service amenities, consumption patterns, housing…
sort of Dada-ist comedy routine where Groucho might stick his head out from behind a curtain and photobomb the press conference … and never more so than yesterday. If only…
economic levers. It’s direct control over credit availability and direct control over currency exchange rates. I’m particularly concerned about the latter. Recent forced declines in the value of the yuan…
an entire note on the subject: https://www.epsilontheory.com/but-our-interests-are-aligned/ Since Salesforce became a public company, its revenues have grown at a wonderful clip. It’s EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization)…
digital fiction created in code and is currently the most valuable psych experiment in the world. Bitcoin, like Gold, is fundamentally a psychological commodity. Psychological commodities are extremely cool and…
…Outcome X occurs? What about Decision A and Outcome Y? Outcome Z? What about Decision B and Outcome X, Y, or Z? Make that subjective calculation for every potential combination…
of a writer and publishes an excellent daily (!) note on his Cultish Creative blog and newsletter, which you can subscribe to here. You can contact Matt at matt@cultishcreative.com and on…
independence vote could happen without UK blessing [Nasdaq.com] California has wrestled with what I’ll call “the referendum problem” for decades. The UK, of course, has been knocked politically flat by…
jesting, Dick. Economics dull? The glamour, the romance of commerce…Hmm. It’s the very lifeblood of our country’s society.” – Batman: TV Series” (1967) It’s a funny world when stocks can…
Otherwise your counterparty is a “liquidity provider”, some technology company whose Big Data computer systems, combined with direct data feeds and frictionless order execution authority to and from trading venues,…
Value and Quality. Knock yourself out. Here’s the year-to-date performance chart for my Value factor, FCF yield: Source: FactSet, Salient Capital Advisors, LLC, April 2014. Pretty much what you’d expect…
of academic and institutional economists – the clerics of our modern Church of Economic Science – who believe wholeheartedly in all of this as some sort of received wisdom from…
special culture, as the dunderheaded nationalist right would argue. Not because we were never really special in the first place, as the insufferable I-tell-people-I’m-Canadian-when-I-vacation-in-Phuket political left would have it. No,…
maintain cartel discipline within OPEC, there’s just too much non-cartelized money, technology, and political capital invested in US shale production to slow it down in this way. It’s the Bick Benedict /…
constraints. As phenomenally efficient as carbon-based nerve cells and chemical neurotransmitters might be, they can’t compete on a fundamental level with silicon-based transistors and electrons. As effective as social constructs…