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It’s All True

By Ben Hunt | February 2, 2024 | 23 Comments
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terrorists win” kind of thing? This language of “domestic terrorists” and how Trump supporters and Biden critics are “extremists” is entirely intentional on the part of Biden and his media…

It’s All True (Eight Thoughts on Justin Mohn)

By Ben Hunt | February 2, 2024 | 23 Comments
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terrorists win” kind of thing? This language of “domestic terrorists” and how Trump supporters and Biden critics are “extremists” is entirely intentional on the part of Biden and his media…

“Yay, College!”

By Ben Hunt | January 4, 2024 | 13 Comments
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the US government. “Yay, College!” becomes narrative cover for an academic-industrial complex that rivals the medieval Catholic Church not only in its sheer size and societal reach, but also in…

Dogs, Dog Food, and the Curse of Some Talent

By Ben Hunt | October 14, 2018 | 20 Comments
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real change in the practice of investing and the practice of citizenship. We are a completely independent voice for change, with no obligation to anyone but our readers, our clients,…

The Problem with Brussels Sprouts

By Rusty Guinn | July 17, 2019 | 17 Comments
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that can create opportunities with uncorrelated sources of return. I believe that there are changes in the structure of markets that occur from time to time that can create periodic…

The Invulnerable Hero*

By Rusty Guinn | January 28, 2021 | 15 Comments
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Soon, the fact that hedge funds have long been and are now even more actively scraping, watching, predicting and pouncing on public, pseudo-private and private social networks will become common…

The Zimbabwe Event

By Ben Hunt | January 27, 2021 | 9 Comments
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the nose to all of the dominant investment themes and narratives today: “dollar debasement”, “reflation”, “number go up” (Bitcoin), “commodity supercycle”, “cyclical recovery”, “earnings recovery”, “pent-up consumer spending”, etc. etc….

Starry Eyes and Starry Skies

By Rusty Guinn | April 29, 2019 | 14 Comments
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powerfully connected because education is topically connected. Health care institutions are attached to colleges. University research studies influence industry, technology and commercial research. Graduates take jobs in industry. But its…

“Suicide Bomber” vs suicide bomber

By Ben Hunt | December 29, 2020 | 19 Comments
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on taking audience reach of articles into account. You’re correct that metadata like publication reach isn’t part of the NLP algo, which is really just a brute force linguistic comparison….

Always Go To the Funeral

By Ben Hunt | August 23, 2017 | 1 Comment
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perfectly — is a dog whistle for the Democrats and an obedience collar for the Republicans. It creates a Competition Game where none existed before, and it forces every elected…

Epsilon Theory Manifesto

By Ben Hunt | June 1, 2013 | 4 Comments
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remark that Christie herself was probably unaware of these patterns, follow this link:   https://www.kiangle.com/notes-from-the-agatha-christie-code/   Also, again based on concordance research, it seems that Christie was succumbing to dementia…

Notes from the Diamond #3: Everything Has Its Price

By David Salem | October 26, 2018 | 7 Comments
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management and baseball PDF Download (Paid Subscription Required): https://www.epsilontheory.com/download/17005/ Comments welcome on Notes from the Diamond! Contact David directly at:     Email: david.salem@epsilontheory.com      Twitter: @dsaleminvestorο»Ώ Endnotes [1] Paul and Lloyd Waner notched…

Off Wall Street and Off-Off Wall Street

By Brent Donnelly | January 22, 2021 | 10 Comments
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Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) and the Securities Exchange Commission (‘SEC”), and/or HBUS, which is regulated by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (“OCC”), the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission…

Portrait of a Very Serious Investor

By Demonetized | January 29, 2021 | 3 Comments
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challenge their betters?  Ordnung muss sein. The Very Serious Investor couches his objections in the language of finance. “stocks divorced from fundamentals” “inefficient capital allocation” “significant mispricings in the cost…

The Zeitgeist – 5.21.2019

By Ben Hunt | May 21, 2019 | 2 Comments
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… you’re nuts. https://www.epsilontheory.com/you-dont-have-to-dance-every-dance/ Rise in CMBS IO Loan Issuance Surpasses Pre-Recession Levels, Worrying Some in the Industry [NREI] Competition that is fueling a spike in interest-only (IO) loan issuance…

Fiat Money, Fiat News

By Ben Hunt | January 4, 2017 | 4 Comments
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Lateran Council of the Catholic Church decreed that everyone, king and commoner alike, should practice individual confession. In a very real sense, the IDEA of privacy — the concept of…

Narrative is not a Disease. Narrative is Us.

By Ben Hunt | September 16, 2019 | 3 Comments
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mind. Clear Eyes, Full Hearts, Can’t Lose. https://www.epsilontheory.com/clear-eyes-full-hearts-cant-lose/ Not from the top-down, but from the bottom-up. Not from a political party, but from a social movement. This is Make/Protect/Teach. https://www.epsilontheory.com/the-long-now-pt-2-make-protect-teach/…

I’m Trying To Understand Hedonic Adjustments

By Brent Donnelly | May 10, 2021 | 13 Comments
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of relative satisfaction from consumption of goods. In price index methodology, hedonic quality adjustment has come to mean the practice of decomposing an item into its constituent characteristics, obtaining estimates…

Inherent Vice

By Ben Hunt | June 22, 2015 | 0 Comments
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US energy producers? Chicken. ECB vs. the Swiss National Bank? Chicken. Fed monetary policy communications to markets? Chicken. Abenomics? Chicken. US policy towards China? Chicken. ISIS vs. the world? Chicken….

The World ‘Twixt Ought To and Is

By Rusty Guinn | August 18, 2019 | 9 Comments
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radiation measurement tools and spectrometers counting carbon-14 atoms function? Or is the composition of the bone itself changed? Within any religious community, there are legalistic subcultures which find positively nonsensical…