...

ET Pro Regulation Monitor

A Game of Them

By Rusty Guinn | January 4, 2019 | 9 Comments

When it comes to politics and social media, making up straw men about our enemies to make them look ridiculous seems like good entertainment. But beware embracing amusing-but-wrong cartoons in zero sum games.

Epsilon Theory Discovery Map

By Rusty Guinn | January 3, 2019 | 5 Comments

Introducing the Epsilon Theory Discovery Map – a novel way to navigate the Epsilon Theory archives, not based on chronology or author, but based on connectivity, similarity and consistency in the underlying narratives.

Multiple Ways to Lose (AAPL)

By Rusty Guinn | January 3, 2019 | Comments Off on Multiple Ways to Lose (AAPL)

We examine how Apple found both of the ways to lose on Narrative in less than two months’ time, and outline how that might change the playbook for the near-, medium- and long-term for different investor types.

Let Us Now Praise Famous Men

By Ben Hunt | January 2, 2019 | 7 Comments

We are living in a Golden Age of corporate management competence, driven by the adoption of process technologies and minimax regret strategies. That’s not going to stop in 2019, and it has major implications for your portfolio strategy.

Audacity

By Rusty Guinn | January 1, 2019 | 1 Comment

Some resolution season advice for young professionals who would become successful professional investors without becoming charlatans – a task easier said than done.

Looking for Laffer-Likes

By Rusty Guinn | December 31, 2018 | 4 Comments

Complex systems and uncertainty influence us to look for something – anything – to hang our hat on. The problem? We’re prone to hang our hats on extrapolations of the rare facts we can find, many of which have no explanatory power at the margin, where markets live and breathe.

Building The Narrative Machine

By Neville Crawley | December 31, 2018 | 0 Comments

Is it early days with the development of the Narrative Machine? Yes.

But not as early as you might think.

Eight crucial insights on how to incorporate Narrative data into an understanding of markets.

In the Flow – Real World vs. Market World

By Ben Hunt | December 30, 2018 | 0 Comments

For the first time in weeks, the recessionary fearfest narrative is now declining, not growing. And that means Treasuries will have a really hard time working, no matter what happens in equities.

In the News | Week of 12.31.2018

By Rusty Guinn | December 30, 2018 | 0 Comments

Summary on most narrative-linked news of one announcing US company and this week’s December non-farm payrolls and unemployment updates.

Rock, Paper, Scissors

By Ben Hunt | December 27, 2018 | 5 Comments

We’ve been doing it wrong with AI for too long. Time to do it right.

We can’t SOLVE for the future of complex social systems like markets or politics with algorithms. But we can CALCULATE the future of these systems with AI.