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ET Pro Geopolitical Conflict Monitor

Cursed Knowledge #15: Sir Edmund Hillary Thinks You’re An Ass

By Harper Hunt | October 28, 2022 | 3 Comments

Mt Everest is a death trap. Everything about the mountain is designed to kill you. So why are so many people going up there? Why do we ignore the very real and very dangerous narratives that are right in our face.

Office Hours Recap 10/21/2022

By Harper Hunt | October 24, 2022 | 0 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 10/21/2022 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

Why Am I Reading This Now? 10.24.22

By Harper Hunt | October 24, 2022 | 0 Comments

Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger Narrative campaign.

Mortgage Markets and History’s Rhymes

By Ben Hunt | October 21, 2022 | 0 Comments

In Q4 2007 – in the aftermath of the Bear Stearns MBS funds going out (June), the blow-up across most quant funds (August), and both autos and housing rolling over in the US – I got net short in my hedge fund and started looking for single stocks with business models that were levered to borrowing short and lending long in the structured mortgage product world.

Today I’m getting the same funny feeling about the structured mortgage product world.

UK Pensions Webinar Recording

By Ben Hunt | October 18, 2022 | 0 Comments

This is the recording of our webinar on UK Pensions that took place on October 14th, 2022. If you want to continue the conversation, check out the ET Forum.

Statistics and Narrative Creation (Shelter Inflation ed.)

By Ben Hunt | October 18, 2022 | 0 Comments

Everywhere you look today, you are seeing Wall Street and Washington missionaries using annualized month-over-month or quarter-over-quarter inflation statistics to “prove” their opinions that inflation is not embedded and – more importantly – their opinions that the Fed should stop hiking interest rates.

It’s a terribly flawed Cartoon of reality, but a very powerful narrative weapon.

Office Hours Recap 10/14/2022

By Harper Hunt | October 17, 2022 | 0 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 10/14/2022 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

Why Am I Reading This Now? 10.17.22

By Harper Hunt | October 17, 2022 | 0 Comments

Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger Narrative campaign.

Why Am I Reading This Now? 10.10.22

By Harper Hunt | October 11, 2022 | 0 Comments

Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger Narrative campaign.

Floating to the Surface

By Ben Hunt | October 5, 2022 | 0 Comments

My rule of thumb is that it takes about two months for the dead bodies of institutional investment firms that have been drowned by some macro turn of events to float to the surface. That’s a pretty gruesome way of making my point, and apologies for that, but it’s the best and truest analogy I could think of.