Epsilon Theory In Brief

Epsilon Theory In Brief

 

Daily short-form pieces for those without the time (or attention span) for classic Epsilon Theory notes. Look out for regular features like the subscriber mailbag and guest contributions from within the Epsilon Theory network.

Fostering Reality in an Unreal World

By Brent Donnelly | July 5, 2023 | 1 Comment

ET contributor Brent Donnelly captures the spirit and the content of our Epsilon Connect conference better than anything we could have done ourselves. Plus you get the slides from our presentations!

Derivative Hoops

By Hubie Brownstone | June 20, 2023 | 4 Comments

A synthetic basketball lasted only one year (2007-2008) in the NBA.

But Synthetic Basketball? Oh, that’s here to stay.

When The Best Conference Speaker Is Your Uber Driver (Epsilon Connect 2023 Notes)

By Matt Zeigler | June 15, 2023 | 16 Comments

The best speaker at Epsilon Connect 2023 was my Uber driver.

Buckle up, honeys.

Trading is a lot like Poker

By Brent Donnelly | May 16, 2023 | 1 Comment

With the passing of Doyle Brunson, it’s a good day to compare poker to trading.

Dedollarization is Not a Thing

By Brent Donnelly | March 31, 2023 | 37 Comments

People like to throw around the phrase “gradually, then suddenly” as a witty rejoinder to suggest a dedollarization of the world is a nonlinear process that will unfold any day now. That only sounds smart when Hemingway says it.

There is no structural dollar depreciation or dedollarization story. Global usage of the USD is stable and changes in the value of the USD are cyclical.

Office Hours Recap 03/24/2023

By Harper Hunt | March 28, 2023 | 2 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 03/24/2023 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

Office Hours Recap 03/17/2023

By Harper Hunt | March 20, 2023 | 0 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 03/17/2023 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

Dark Forest: The Brutal Game of Modern Banking

By Ben Hunt | March 17, 2023 | 97 Comments

I think that the Big Banks’ collective deposit of $30 billion in uninsured accounts with First Republic is the first step in solving the Dark Forest problem of the American banking system.

Office Hours Recap 03/10/2023

By Harper Hunt | March 14, 2023 | 0 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 03/10/2023 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

Office Hours Recap 03/03/2023

By Harper Hunt | March 6, 2023 | 0 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 03/03/2023 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

AI R Us

By Ben Hunt | March 2, 2023 | 276 Comments

The scariest thing about large language model AIs isn’t their fundamental human-ness.

It’s the fundamental AI-ness of human intelligence.

They Fought the Gyre … and the Gyre Won

By Rusty Guinn | February 15, 2023 | 61 Comments

He Gets Us gets a lot right about our world today.

But there’s something important He Gets Us didn’t get.

Office Hours Recap 02/10/2023

By Harper Hunt | February 13, 2023 | 0 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 02/10/2023 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

Office Hours Recap 02/03/2023

By Harper Hunt | February 6, 2023 | 0 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 02/03/2023 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

Office Hours Recap 01/27/2023

By Harper Hunt | January 30, 2023 | 0 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 01/27/2023 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

Office Hours Recap 01/20/2023

By Harper Hunt | January 23, 2023 | 0 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 01/20/2023 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

Hodor

By Rusty Guinn | January 10, 2023 | 39 Comments

The Story of Adequate Liquidity doesn’t exist and shift on the margin. Instead, it exists in two states: it is normal, or it is broken. Once the threshold between these states is crossed, it is very hard to tell the old story. Sometimes impossible.

There is almost no price too high to keep that story from jumping over that threshold.

Office Hours Recap 01/06/2023

By Harper Hunt | January 9, 2023 | 0 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 01/06/2023 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

Office Hours Recap 12/30/2022

By Harper Hunt | January 3, 2023 | 0 Comments

These are the major topics and ideas we discussed during the 12/30/2022 Office Hours as well as some of the biggest takeaways. If you have something you want to add to the conversation, let us know in the comments and join us next time.

Covid is China’s Vietnam War

By Ben Hunt | December 22, 2022 | 23 Comments

Covid is China’s Vietnam War, and the current outbreak is their Tet Offensive.

This is how Common Knowledge changes, as now everyone knows that everyone knows that the CCP is not just a liar, but an incompetent, failed liar.