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Epsilon Theory In Full

Epsilon Theory In Full

 

The soul of Epsilon Theory is our long-form content, a library of hundreds of pieces written by Ben, Rusty and others over the course of the last 5+ years. These are the print-and-take-home-for the weekend notes that made Epsilon Theory what it is today.

The Mandarin Class

By Ben Hunt | October 22, 2021 | 62 Comments

I don’t think there’s anything illegal in how Fed governors trade their personal accounts.

No, I think it’s much worse than that.

Second Chance

By Harper Hunt | October 21, 2021 | 0 Comments

From the ET Forum … They made a deal! IATSE was able to reach an agreement with studios and networks just 24 hours before the…

When Narrative Takes Flight

By Rusty Guinn | October 14, 2021 | 18 Comments

We find ourselves together now at the stage of the Widening Gyre in which your political identity now determines the reality you wish to accept about three days of moderate operational difficulties at the ninth largest global airline, as measured by passenger-miles.

3 Strikes They’re Out

By Harper Hunt | October 12, 2021 | 0 Comments

From the ET Forum … If you hadn’t heard about the potential IATSE strike allow me to catch you up to speed. IATSE is the…

No Time to Die: China Banks Edition

By Marc Rubinstein | October 7, 2021 | 5 Comments

With $300+ billion of assets, Evergrande is big, but if you want REALLY big, take a look at the balance sheets of Chinese banks.

ET contributor Marc Rubinstein was there at the beginning when Chinese banks went public, and he’s here now to review the sector.

How Lucky You Are To Be Alive Right Now

By David Salem | October 7, 2021 | 3 Comments

ET friend and contributor David Salem is back!

Here with his Constitution Day address at Middlebury College, David makes the rich tradition of academic speeches richer still, with nods to the Founders and Vitalik Buterin alike.

The Uncontained Spark

By Ben Hunt | October 1, 2021 | 15 Comments

There is an uncontained spark in the financial world today, a spark that emerged from the unlikeliest of places, a federal courthouse in Florida.

It’s a spark with the potential to light a searing bonfire under Robinhood and Citadel.

#BITFD

Zeroism and the Allocator Status Quo

By Matthew Edwards | September 21, 2021 | 2 Comments

ET contributor Matthew Edwards pushes back on seven rules that allocators often apply to new managers.

1) We don’t do crypto.
2) We only invest in what we know.
3) We never pay full fees.
4) We prefer fundamental investment strategies.
5) We seek strong alignment of interests.
6) We cannot be greater than x% of a fund’s total assets under management.
7) We require a minimum track record of X years.

Coming Soon to CBS

By Harper Hunt | September 16, 2021 | 0 Comments

From the ET Forum … The Activist is an upcoming reality show that really shouldn’t have made it past the “there are no bad ideas”…

Unanchored

By Brent Donnelly | September 15, 2021 | 7 Comments

ET contributor Brent Donnelly starts up where he left off, with a new launch of AM/FX and a new riff on the classic ET note, “Snip!”.

In the immortal words of Hunter S. Thompson, when the going gets weird, the weird turn pro!

The Widened Gyre

By Ben Hunt | September 12, 2021 | 0 Comments

From the ET Forum … Yesterday, the 20th anniversary of 9/11, I read and heard several mainstream references to “the Widening Gyre”. It makes sense…

Whitestone Bridge

By Ben Hunt | September 11, 2021 | 2 Comments

In 1937, in the midst of a Great Depression, we started building a mighty bridge, not for a war effort, but for a popular movement based on wonder and progress.

We really did that.

Can we do it again?

The Green Protocol: A New Vision for Crypto, Pt 2

By Ben Hunt | September 8, 2021 | 56 Comments

The Green Protocol is a set of rules for the tokenization of symbolic betting markets in positive social good.

I think this is how crypto saves the world.

Our first step on this new path? Let’s plant one billion new trees in North America over the next ten years.

Oh, a Rhinoceros

By Rusty Guinn | September 8, 2021 | 0 Comments

A video made the rounds on various social media platforms last night and this morning. By now you have probably seen it. A young man…

Cursed Knowledge #5: Hot Coffee

By Harper Hunt | September 2, 2021 | 0 Comments

The McDonalds Hot Coffee lawsuit is the archetypal example of nonsense litigation. But there’s a lot more to the story than most people know.

Notes from Camp Kotok 2021

By Brent Donnelly | August 27, 2021 | 4 Comments

ET contributor Brent Donnelly with an end-of-summer compilation of the top–of-mind topics at Camp Kotok!

Prophet of the Pandemic

By Luke Burgis | August 26, 2021 | 14 Comments

Sophocles knew it. Dostoevsky knew it.

Disruption to the biological order and disruption to the social order are one and the same.

Burying the Lede

By Rusty Guinn | August 26, 2021 | 8 Comments

The ability to influence our behaviors as information consumers isn’t confined to whether we are explicitly being told how to think about something. Narrative is just as easily communicated through the selective absence of information, through its placement on a page, through the editorial decision regarding the volume and emphasis of its coverage.

C’mon, Australia

By Ben Hunt | August 25, 2021 | 0 Comments

From the ET Forum … An Australian Pack member living abroad published what I think is an outstanding review of the depths to which Australia’s…

Afghanistan and the Common Knowledge Game

By Ben Hunt | August 23, 2021 | 43 Comments

When the State Department announced on August 12th that it was removing all remaining non-essential personnel from Kabul within 3 days and was considering a relocation of the US embassy to the more defensible airport, the fall of the Afghani government became common knowledge.

And that’s when everything fell apart.