All Epsilon Theory Content

All Epsilon Theory Content

 

Everything we have published at Epsilon Theory since 2013, an archive of more than 1,000 evergreen notes.

Cursed Knowledge #24: Hollywood Accounting

By Harper Hunt | November 17, 2023 | 1 Comment

We know that Hollywood is a multibillion dollar industry that shows no signs of slowing anytime soon. So then why do so many studios report that their movies failed? Especially when most of these movies are incredibly popular and by all accounts should be financially successful. Well turns out Hollywood has some tricks up their sleeves and, as The Producers taught us, under the right circumstances you can make more money with a flop than a hit.

Breaking News #8: When Narrative Doesn’t Matter | The Israeli Strategy of Total War

By Harper Hunt | November 9, 2023 | 19 Comments

People traditionally look at war as something that is fought on a battlefield. And that is certainly true. But it is also fought in the world of Narrative. The stories that are told by both the combatants in a war and other parties outside the war with a vested interest in its outcome can play a major role in how it plays out. In this episode, we look at the current Israel Hamas war through a narrative lens and how that is impacting the conflict.

Cursed Knowledge #23: Mega Disasters

By Harper Hunt | November 2, 2023 | 1 Comment

Earthquakes, storms, volcanos, oh my. It seems the earth is always trying to kill us one way or another. These are dangerous powerful spectacles that can literally reshape the world. It’s understandable that we’re so fascinated by them. But why aren’t we afraid of them?

The Rick Rubin Of Advice: How To Have A Creative Second Act

By Matt Zeigler | October 30, 2023 | 21 Comments

The weirdest question I was ever asked, maybe in my entire life, was, “Can you make this sound more yellow?” The weirdest answer I’ve ever given to the weirdest question was, “Yes.” I replay that conversation in my head all of the time. There’s a perfectly good and teachable reason I was able to answer it. But to teach you that magic trick, we have to talk about Rick Rubin.

Why You Need A Personal Archive And How To Start One

By Matt Zeigler | October 27, 2023 | 13 Comments

A personal archive is a means for staying connected with the world and ourselves at the same time. It’s a simple yet life-changing way of seeing the world and your place in it.

Breaking News #7: When the Media Failed Us: The Changing Story of the Gaza Hospital Explosion

By Harper Hunt | October 26, 2023 | 6 Comments

There was an explosion in the vicinity of a hospital in Gaza. The media immediately began reporting on it. Major newspapers put out front page headlines. Television stations brought on experts to voice their opinions, But there was one major problem: much of the information that was reported as fact turned out to be wrong.

In this episode, we dig into the incident to try to understand what happened in the reporting of this story, why it happened, and what it tells us about the way the media operates in our world today.

Cursed Knowledge #22: The Narrative of Reality TV

By Harper Hunt | October 20, 2023 | 3 Comments

Reality TV is a constant and ever growing part of pop culture. Everyone has a guilty pleasure show that they watch every week. It’s created stars and scandals that have gained international attention. It’s dominated the small screen for almost 30 years and the line between tv and reality has never been thinner.

Fiat News in the Fog of War

By Rusty Guinn | October 18, 2023 | 24 Comments

The obligation of the news media when major events are unfolding should be to act with more discretion and care, not less.

They failed at this most critical task this week. Utterly.

Generative AI Images and how Microsoft Doesn’t Understand the Internet

By Desperate_Yuppie | October 13, 2023 | 20 Comments

A sample of what you’ll find on the Epsilon Theory Forum – a safe space for full-hearted people to voice their concerns and hopes and observations about today’s world without the emotional cudgel of cancellation or the emotional crutch of an echo chamber. You know … what social media should be!

And yes, it’s for paid subscribers only, which is how we keep the trolls at bay.

Lessons From Biking 245 Miles Across France

By Kyla Scanlon | October 12, 2023 | 7 Comments

ET contributor Kyla Scanlon was stuck. So she went biking with strangers who through the magic of talking became friends and confidants. And that’s how you get unstuck.

Breaking News #6: Maintaining Optimism in a Polarized Political World

By Harper Hunt | October 12, 2023 | 24 Comments

The political world is becoming more polarized by the day. In our previous episodes, we have looked at why this is occurring, and why it is likely to get worse before it gets better.

But that doesn’t mean we should give up. There are many things those of us who don’t want to give in to this polarization can do to better navigate this world and to find like minded people who also feel the same way.

One Less Vulnerability

By Brent Donnelly | October 5, 2023 | 4 Comments

Yes, this is a note about oil prices. But more importantly it’s a note about all the changes in correlation and transmission to FX that have happened over the past few years.

Cursed Knowledge #21: Invasive Species

By Harper Hunt | October 5, 2023 | 15 Comments

Invasive species are a known “bad thing”. An organism that’s introduced to an environment and ruins it. So why don’t we do anything about them? And is there even anything we can do?

Breaking News #5: Voldemort 2024! The Biden/Trump Rematch No One Wants

By Harper Hunt | September 28, 2023 | 10 Comments

Polls show that the majority of Americans are not happy about the choice between Joe Biden and Donald Trump that we are likely to face in the next election. In this episode, we discuss how we got to this point. We look at the embedded problems in our political system that favor incumbents and how it has led us to where we are today. We also look at the political strategy used by incumbents and how they attempt to stave off upstart candidates by altering the system itself.

Cursed Knowledge #20: Airbnb

By Harper Hunt | September 21, 2023 | 3 Comments

Airbnb has reshaped how we travel and disrupted the hotel industry. But most of the stories from both guests and hosts reveal nothing but disasters. So what’s really going on? What’s the real story of Airbnb?

Breaking News #4: From Ross Perot to RFK Jr – The Evolving Narratives of Political Entrepreneurs

By Harper Hunt | September 14, 2023 | 18 Comments

In this episode, we take a deep dive into the tactics and tools used by upstart political entrepreneurs. Our political system is setup to heavily favor incumbents and candidates that are part of the political establishment. This presents an exceptionally difficult challenge for candidates who come from outside of that system. But social media and technology have given upstart candidates more tools at their disposal than they have ever had in history. And they are using them to both gain our votes and influence our opinions. We discuss how they do that and how all of us can maintain Clear Eyes and Full Hearts in the midst of their influence.

Inflation in the Twenty-First Century: A Circular Flow No Longer

By Kevin Coldiron | September 12, 2023 | 15 Comments

The flow of dollars between the US and China is no longer circular, and that has enormous implications for how the US finances its budget deficits.

New from ET contributor Kevin Coldiron!

Cursed Knowledge #19: The Snappiest Place on Earth

By Harper Hunt | September 7, 2023 | 2 Comments

We live in a very safe world. And we’ve worked hard to make it safe. But sometimes we take that safety for granted. And sometimes we think that safety applies even when it really really doesn’t.

The Time I Got A High School Paper Extension In A Bar: The Fourth Turning (But Not In The Way You Think)

By Matt Zeigler | September 6, 2023 | 24 Comments

Wanna guess what book both Steve Bannon and Al Gore handed out to members of Congress?

ET contributor Matt Zeigler knows it was “The Fourth Turning”, and he’s got a thing or two to say about generational theory.

Inflation in the Twenty-First Century: Unintended Consequences

By Kevin Coldiron | September 1, 2023 | 37 Comments

“My house in California sits within a short walk of the Hayward fault. Most of the time nothing happens, but occasionally we are jolted awake by an earthquake.”

New ET contributor Kevin Coldiron on the tectonic plates that are driving inflation (and its consequences) today!