Ben Hunt

Ben Hunt

Co-Founder and CIO

 @EpsilonTheory

Ben Hunt is the creator of Epsilon Theory and inspiration behind Second Foundation Partners, which he co-founded with Rusty Guinn in June 2018.

Epsilon Theory, Second Foundation’s principal publishing brand, is a newsletter and website that examines markets through the lenses of game theory and history. Over 100,000 professional investors and allocators across 180 countries read Epsilon Theory for its fresh perspective and novel insights into market dynamics. As Chief Investment Officer, Ben bears primary responsibility for determining the Company’s investment views and positioning of model portfolios. He is also the primary author of materials distributed through Epsilon Theory.

Ben taught political science for 10 years: at New York University from 1991 until 1997 and (with tenure) at Southern Methodist University from 1997 until 2000. He also wrote two academic books: Getting to War (Univ. of Michigan Press, 1997) and Policy and Party Competition (Routledge, 1992), which he co-authored with Michael Laver. Ben is the founder of two technology companies and the co-founder of SmartEquip, Inc., a software company for the construction equipment industry that provides intelligent schematics and parts diagrams to facilitate e-commerce in spare parts.

He began his investment career in 2003, first in venture capital and subsequently on two long/short equity hedge funds. He worked at Iridian Asset Management from 2006 until 2011 and TIG Advisors from 2012 until 2013. He joined Rusty at Salient in 2013, where he combined his background as a portfolio manager, risk manager, and entrepreneur with academic experience in game theory and econometrics to work with Salient’s own portfolio managers and its financial advisor clients to improve client outcomes.

Ben is a graduate of Vanderbilt University (1986) and earned his Ph.D. in Government from Harvard University in 1991. He lives in the wilds of Redding, CT on Little River Farm, where he personifies the dilettante farmer that has been a stock comedic character since Cicero's day. Luckily his wife, Jennifer, and four daughters, Harper, Hannah, Haven and Halle, are always there to save the day. Ben's hobbies include comic books, Alabama football, beekeeping, and humoring Rusty in trivia "competitions".

Articles by Ben:

The Zeitgeist – 4.4.2019

By Ben Hunt | April 4, 2019 | 0 Comments

Jeff Skilling is back, baby!

And that takes me back 30+ years, when a kid fresh out of college had a ticket to Houston Hobby airport and an offer letter from McKinsey.

Our lives are defined by the roads we avoid as much as by the roads we take. And more often than not, sheer blind luck is responsible for the difference.

The Zeitgeist – 4.3.2019

By Ben Hunt | April 3, 2019 | 0 Comments

In which Fiddy does his part to jumpstart the Connecticut economy, Kendall Jenner shows us the way, and Chrissy Teigen shares the stage with … Jay Powell?

It’s all the news that’s fit to Nudge, here in the Daily Zeitgeist.

The Zeitgeist – 4.2.2019

By Ben Hunt | April 2, 2019 | 2 Comments

Maya Angelou not only knew what made the caged bird sing, but also what makes Fiat News tick.

People will forget what you said, people will forget what you did, but people will never forget how you made them FEEL.

In the Flow – The Silver Age of Central Bankers

By Ben Hunt | April 1, 2019 | Comments Off on In the Flow – The Silver Age of Central Bankers

You can make a lot of money collecting Golden Age comics. The Silver Age, though? Meh. The story arcs and narratives are a joke. The art is so-so at best. The publishers are just squeezing the installed base, and the creators are just mailing it in. They’re old, but so what?

Same with the Silver Age of Central Bankers. It’s hard to make money, particularly in Emerging Markets, when it’s every man for himself among DM central banks.

How to Live Safely in a Wall Street Universe

By Ben Hunt | March 31, 2019 | 7 Comments

It’s the most valuable lesson I’ve got for any smart, young Coyote embarking on a career in the Mob or in Wall Street: never ask for a cut on an existential trade idea.

Our Thing isn’t about the money. IT’S. ABOUT. THE. MONEY.

Except when it’s not.

The Zeitgeist – 3.28.2019

By Ben Hunt | March 28, 2019 | 1 Comment

Wells Fargo and Mastercard CEOs say blockchain has yet to live up to the hype, Bolsonaro has a post-election let-down in Brazil, you can increase profit margins by squeezing your suppliers, and other tales from Captain Obvious in today’s Zeitgeist.

The Zeitgeist – 3.27.2019

By Ben Hunt | March 27, 2019 | 0 Comments

As a recovering short seller, I have the same reaction to the activist news on Bed Bath and Beyond as I do to video of Lawrence Taylor breaking Joe Theisman’s leg … I just can’t watch. Gotta turn away.

Come to think of it, this is kinda my reaction to all financial and political news these days.

The Zeitgeist – 3.26.2019

By Ben Hunt | March 26, 2019 | 3 Comments

Yield curve alert! We have a BLARING SIREN that is FLASHING … … ummm, amber. I mean, AMBER! And $600 billion in healthcare insurance market cap will be WIPED OUT if Dems have their way!

They’re coming to get you, Barbara!

The Epsilon Strategy

By Ben Hunt | March 25, 2019 | 11 Comments

We can be better investors. Not by playing the cards we’re dealt any harder. But by playing the other players at the table a lot smarter.

It’s a new technology applied to an old investment strategy. It’s a new way to think about money flows and investor behaviors.

The Zeitgeist – 3.21.2019

By Ben Hunt | March 21, 2019 | 0 Comments

“It’s a trap!” This and other evergreen memes of Fiat News, yours for the plucking in today’s Zeitgeist.

It’s not impossible for market volatility to spike massively through some deflationary shock to the financial system like a global recession or a China-driven credit crisis or an Italy-driven euro crisis. What’s impossible is TO GET PAID for taking out an insurance policy against volatility spikes from these deflationary shocks.