The Epsilon Theory Archive

“History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” Mark Twain said that, or Abraham Lincoln depending on what corner of the internet you find yourself on any given day. Likewise, there are common themes, topics and subjects that run throughout the Epsilon Theory archive. All of our writing is categorized, tagged and organized to be easily accessible, but beware: your search for truth on one matter may very well lead you down any number of rabbit holes (and we hope that it does).

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The public unmasking of Harvey Weinstein as a serial rapist (that’s the word, people) is an archetypical play of the Common Knowledge Game. How does private knowledge become – not public knowledge – but common knowledge? Common knowledge is something that we all believe everyone else believes. Read more »

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Archetypes are everywhere in markets. In part two of why investor behavior is one of the Things that Matter, Rusty expands on the tendency for the temperament and behaviors of investors to coalesce around archetypes. Read more »

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You don’t break a wild horse by crushing its spirit. You nudge it into willingly surrendering its autonomy. Because once you’re trained to welcome the saddle, you’re going to take the bit. We are Clever Hans, dutifully hanging on every word or signal from the Nudging Fed and the Nudging Street as we stomp out our investment behavior. Read more »

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In today’s public discourse, symbols — not facts — have become the center of gravity for almost every civic conflict and debate. Rusty reminds us that when we give in to symbolism, allegory and tribalism we abdicate our responsibility as Citizens. Read more »

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The trifecta of massively fast compute, AI algorithms and blockchain development are the top three current technology mega-trends. Read more »

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We think we are wolves, living by the logic of the pack. In truth we are sheep, living by the logic of the flock. Read more »

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Quantum computing leaps forward to a time when AI does everything and we do nothing (which might just be a good thing). Read more »

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We’d like to believe that information and analysis can tell us the true value of something but the reality is that investment returns are always and everywhere a behavioral phenomenon. Read more »

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How young people consume news, how one news site is trying to educate its commenters, and what words should exist at all. Read more »

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Back by popular demand, it’s the Fall 2017 Epsilon Theory Mailbag! Read more »

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