Short-term momentum continues to grind sideways in nearly every asset class except for energy, which continues to fall, and agriculture, which appears to be moving higher. Long-term momentum for stocks are still far into the positive double digits, which bodes well for risk assets going forward. As positive economic news continues to trickle in, we think markets will likely resume buying of stocks.
Momentum measures the rate of acceleration, either positive or negative, in a security’s price and may indicate which markets are positioned for gains or losses. Investing based on momentum entails establishing long positions in securities with positive recent returns and short positions in those with negative recent returns. Momentum in asset classes may illustrate the development of trends in the market.