Long-term momentum in sovereign debt collapsed over the past few weeks as key policy officials in Europe, Canada and the United Kingdom openly discussed the need to begin tightening rates. With negative long-term and short-term momentum, the bond environment appears to be weak. We think this could help push some out further on the risk spectrum and be a boon for stocks.
Momentum measures the rate of acceleration, either positive or negative, in a security’s price and may indicate which markets are positioned for gains or losses. Investing based on momentum entails establishing long positions in securities with positive recent returns and short positions in those with negative recent returns. Momentum in asset classes may illustrate the development of trends in the market.