Our Observations: Short-term momentum (returns over 22-day period) in stocks, energy, and metals declined over the week. We think this adds more evidence that a slight market correction may be underway. However, long-term momentum is still quite strong, so we still expect only a mild sell-off within a bullish market.
Momentum measures the rate of acceleration, either positive or negative, in a security’s price and may indicate which markets are positioned for gains or losses. Investing based on momentum entails establishing long positions in securities with positive recent returns and short positions in those with negative recent returns. Momentum in asset classes may illustrate the development of trends in the market.