Author: Nathan J. Rowader
April 19, 2017
Category: Quantitative Insights
Our Observations: The price of the S&P 500 peaked on March 1st and has fallen nearly 3% while the U.S. Dollar has fallen 2% relative other major currencies. We believe this has created some unique inter-market changes, including a sharp rise in the short-term correlations (22-days) of gold and silver. Precious metals tend to be viewed as a diversifier and returns have been successful going into the recent sell-off, but we believe allocating to these assets now may not garner the same benefits.
The correlation figure measures how each asset return moves in relationship to the broader basket of asset returns listed on the X axis. When correlations are high or rising, it may indicate that economic movements and sentiment are driving the majority of returns, which could potentially make security selection challenging.