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Income Report Card | July 17, 2017

Posted on July 17, 2017

The 10-year treasury yield closed at 2.35%, down 0.04% from last week. However, this is a reprieve from what was a sharp rise last week. The rise in yields was accompanied by positive stock performance as it appears many investors may have put their fears of various global and political issues behind. This yield is […]

Income Report Card | July 10, 2017

Posted on July 10, 2017

The 10-year treasury yield ended the week at 2.39%, in what has been a dramatic period for global bonds. The yield is approaching the May 2017 high of 2.42%. If it is able to push past that high then we think the market may be pivoting back toward a reflation theme. However, much of the […]

Income Report Card | July 3, 2017

Posted on July 3, 2017

Our Observations: The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 2.27%, pushing it to the higher end of the recent trading range. Pundits seemed to have shifted their concerns from rising rates to inflation since the Federal Reserve indicated that lower inflation is not a concern. We think it will be important to watch how policymakers respond […]

Momentum | June 13, 2017

Posted on June 13, 2017

Our Observations: Stocks have taken a brief pause from their recent push this week while bonds took the lead. Short-term trends have favored bonds as the 10-year Treasury has gone from 2.42% to 2.21% in the past month. Foreign bonds have done even better as the euro has appreciated relative to the dollar. However, we […]

Momentum | June 6, 2017

Posted on June 6, 2017

Our Observations: Interest rates in Europe and the U.S. declined last week, driving up the price of bonds. However, this coincided with fairly strong stock performance. Long-term momentum still favors stocks over bonds, so we think the year’s positive stock market performance should continue. Momentum measures the rate of acceleration, either positive or negative, in […]

Momentum | May 31, 2017

Posted on May 31, 2017

The big story in momentum is Brazil, as political turmoil and fears of military mobilization weigh heavily on stocks and currency. However, this does appear to be isolated, as the rest of the emerging markets and Europe continue to exhibit strong short- and long-term momentum, while bonds continue to show weakness, especially at the long […]

Momentum | May 23, 2017

Posted on May 23, 2017

Our Observations: Despite the sell-off last Wednesday and the sell-off in Brazil, global markets are still embracing risk. Both short- and long-term indicators are strong across the emerging markets for both stocks and currencies. Additionally, short- and long-term indicators are still weak across global bonds, particularly on the long end. As a result, we continue […]

Volatility | May 18, 2017

Posted on May 18, 2017

Our Observations: Changes in the risk environment followed no particular pattern. Certain markets like Korea and Hong Kong increased in volatility while most European markets and the U.S. experienced a slight decrease in volatility. In general, risk in stock markets appears to be muted while risk in bonds, currencies, and commodities approaches the long-term volatility […]