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Rewardless Risk

Posted on February 1, 2016

Faramir: Then farewell! But if I should return, think better of me. Denethor: That depends on the manner of your return. – J.R.R. Tolkien “The Lord of the Rings” (1954) I’m going full-nerd with the “Lord of the Rings” introduction to today’s Epsilon Theory note, but I think this scene — where Denethor, the mad […]

You Can Either Surf, or You Can Fight

Posted on January 14, 2016

Kilgore: Smell that? You smell that? Lance: What? Kilgore: Napalm, son.  Nothing else in the world smells like that. – Apocalypse Now (1979) Hello, hello, hello, how low? [x3] – Nirvana, Smells Like Teen Spirit (1991) Outside the bus the smell of sulfur hit Bond with sickening force.  It was a horrible smell, from somewhere down in the stomach of […]

Actually Maybe Not So Excellent

Posted on August 11, 2015

Everything under heaven is in chaos; the situation is excellent. ― Mao Zedong (1893 – 1976) A quick email on China’s currency devaluation last night. The news itself is big enough, but it’s the Narrative that’s developing around the devaluation that has my risk antennae quivering like crazy. What do I mean? I mean that […]

“Suddenly, Last Summer”

Posted on July 29, 2015

A quick Epsilon Theory email and a quick announcement. Announcement first. I’ll be giving a 1-hour webcast on Risk Premia strategies next Tuesday, August 4th, along with Salient President Jeremy Radcliffe and Salient Portfolio Manager Rob Croce, who knows more about the guts of these strategies than anyone should. The webcast qualifies for CE credit […]

Ghost in the Machine, Part 1

Posted on January 20, 2015

  The way out is through the door. Why is it that no one will use this method? ― Confucius (551 – 479 BC) Tanzan and Ekido were once traveling together down a muddy road. A heavy rain was still falling. Coming around a bend, they met a lovely girl in a silk kimono and […]

Going Gray

Posted on October 1, 2014

Everything under the sun is in chaos. The situation is excellent. – Mao Zedong (1893 – 1976) Forget it, Jake. It’s Chinatown. – Chinatown (1974) Language is conceived in sin and science is its redemption. – W.V.O. Quine (1908 – 2000) I am, as I am; whether hideous, or handsome, depends upon who is made […]