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Like last week, momentum has improved slightly among stocks and energy commodities. We believe this continues to point toward an improvement in the overall picture for risk assets. As volatility abates, stocks may likely continue their run. However, it wouldn’t be surprising if this didn’t happen until after the mid-term elections.
Momentum measures the rate of acceleration, either positive or negative, in a security’s price and may indicate which markets are positioned for gains or losses. Investing based on momentum entails establishing long positions in securities with positive recent returns and short positions in those with negative recent returns. Momentum in asset classes may illustrate the development of trends in the market.